Business Monitor International


Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report

Published 07 November 2014

  • 82 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Bosnia 's mobile market contracted in Q114, despite a relatively low penetration rate. This indicates that a considerable proportion of the population still do not have regular access to mobile services, a situation we attribute to poor network coverage in underserved areas and the inability of low income earners in these areas to afford the service. With the uptake of 3G and multiplay services in urban areas, the operators are less inclined to embark on expensive and less rewarding network deployment projects in rural areas. We expect this to weigh on mobile subscriptions growth over our forecast period, through to 2018, with the penetration rate remaining below 100%.  

Key Data

  • The mobile market contracted by 3.7% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q114, as penetration declined to 87.7%.

  • Bosnia's fixed-line market contracted by 1.4% q-o-q in Q114 following subscription losses by the incumbent operators.

  • We estimate that the broadband market grew by 11.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2013, driven by rising demand for mobile data and cable broadband connections.

Key Trends & Developments

Consolidation continued in the fixed-line sector with BlicNet receiving regulatory approval to acquire Telrad Net and United Group, the Dutch holding firm controlled by US-based Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR), entering in talks to buy Bosnian cable television and broadband internet service provider M&H Company. These developments are in line with our view that consolidation will invigorate Bosnia's fixed-line sector by giving the alternative operators sufficient scale to challenge the dominance of the three incumbent operators.

Incumbent operator BH Telecom extended the availability of its IPTV service to subscribers of any ISP across the country from September 2014 in a bid to boost its convergence services. Bosnia's incumbent operators are under intense pressure from alternative operators in the wireline line market and sluggish growth from traditional...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
SWOT
11
Political
13
Economic
14
Business Environment
15
Industry Forecast
16
Mobile
16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts (Bosnia-Herzegovina 2011-2018)
16
Wireline
19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts (Bosnia-Herzegovina 2011-2018)
19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
21
Table: Central & Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings, Q414
25
Market Overview
27
Mobile
27
Regional Overview
27
Table: Regional Comparison, 2013
28
Key Developments
28
Mobile Growth
29
Market Share
31
Subscriber Mix
32
Usage
34
MVNOs
34
Networks
35
Mobile Content
38
Mobile Operator Data
41
Table: Market Overview
41
Table: BH Mobile
41
Table: Mobilne Srpske
42
Table: HT Mostar
42
Central And Eastern Europe Mobile Content
43
Wireline
47
Key Developments
47
Fixed-Line
47
Broadband
49
Pay-TV And Converged Services
53
Table: Wireline Developments, 2009-2011
55
Industry Trends And Developments
56
Table: Selected Developments
59
Regulatory Development
60
Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
60
Competitive Landscape
62
Table: Key Players
62
Table: Selected Operators' Financial Indicators (USDmn)
62
Company Profile
63
BH Telecom
63
Regional Overview
68
Business Divisions
68
Table: ENT: Revenue By Business Segment (HRKmn)
68
Financial Performance
68
Geographical Performance
69
Table: ENT: Revenue By Geography (HRKmn)
70
Domestic Market
70
Export Markets
71
Ericsson Market
72
Outlook
73
Table: Selected Contracts, 2013/14
74
Demographic Forecast
75
Demographic Outlook
75
Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
76
Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
77
Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
78
Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
78
Glossary
79
Table: Glossary Of Terms
79
Methodology
81
Industry Forecast Methodology
81
Sources
82
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
83
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
84
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
85

The Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Bosnia-Herzegovina's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Bosnia-Herzegovina to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Bosnian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Bosnia-Herzegovina's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Bosnia-Herzegovina.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc