Product Description

The Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo Business Forecast Report helps businesses with Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2014, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

Key Uses

• Forecast the pace and stability of Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's economic and industry growth through end-2014
• Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo, to facilitate risk mitigation
• Assess the critical shortcomings of Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
• Contextualise Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system
• Target business opportunities in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's high-growth industry sectors
• Evaluate external threats to doing business in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes four major sections: Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Political Outlook, Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Economic Outlook, Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Business Environment and Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Key Industry Sectors.

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo over the next 5-years?

BMI's Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo Political Outlook Contents

• SWOT Analysis for the Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan Market
  Political strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo.
• Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
• Current Administration and Policy-making in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan government, assessing threats to the continuity of Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end-2018.
• Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan Foreign Policy
  BMI examines key trends and shifts in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's foreign relations and alignments with regional neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
• Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
• Gain valuable insights into the Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Economic Outlook:

How will Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2009-2014?

BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo through end-2014 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo Economic Outlook Contents

The Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for country, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 set against Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan government views. Underpinning our Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2014, covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo

• Economic Activity in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
• Fiscal Policy in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
• Monetary Policy in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in country; currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
• Balance of Payments in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current and capital account balances
• Foreign Direct Investment in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
• Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan External Debt
  Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

• Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
• Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
• Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan government economic policy

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Business Environment:

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis

Short- and long-term business environment risk ratings for Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo, benchmarked against ratings for regional neighbours.

Country Competitiveness for Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
Competitiveness of Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon, compared with regional neighbours.

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo Business Environment Contents

• Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Domestic Environment.
  Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT
• Foreign Direct Investment in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors attracting most interest
• Foreign Trade with Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Key Industry Sectors

Which industry sectors in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the Serbian, Montenegrin & Kosovan market?

BMI’s identifies investment opportunities in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's high growth industries including automotives, defence & security, food & drink, freight transport, infrastructure, oil & gas, pharmaceuticals & healthcare and IT.

Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Key Industry Sectors Contents

BMI’s independent 5-year forecasts to end-2014's and industry trend analyses for Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo leading industry sectors, including a selection from:

Automotive - Defence & Security - Food & Drink - Freight Transport - Infrastructure
- Oil & Gas - Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare - Telecommunications

Coverage of Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's Key Industry Sectors

• Market Overview
  Size, value and structure of industry; impact of liberalisation and privatisation on sector performance and prospects; friendliness of business environment
• Latest Developments in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Review of latest projects, deals, privatisations, mergers and acquisitions, and implications for sector performance; company rankings for national and multinational companies in country; main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main brands, products and services
• Company Rankings
  Main industry players by local sales, employee size, market share and main brands, products and services
• 5-year Industry Forecast for Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo
  Historic dataset 2005-2009 and BMI forecasts through end-2014, covering headline industry data broken out by sub sector

Key Benefits

1. Target strategic sector-by-sector opportunities in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's high growth industries, attracting public expenditure and foreign investment; identify key players and competitors driving growth, investment and business opportunities.
2. Benefit from competitive intelligence on top national and multinational companies operating in Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo's major industry sectors, including analysis of recent trends in sales and market share, company strategies, product launches and latest deals.

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