Mozambique Business Forecast Report

Published: February 26 2010  Quarterly   

Product Description

The Mozambique Business Forecast Report helps businesses with Mozambican market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Mozambique and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Mozambique's political, economic and financial prospects through end-2014, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International.

Key Uses

• Forecast the pace and stability of Mozambique's economic and industry growth through end-2014
• Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends in Mozambique, to facilitate risk mitigation
• Assess the critical shortcomings of Mozambique's business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability
• Contextualise Mozambique's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative risk ratings system
• Target business opportunities in Mozambique's high-growth industry sectors
• Evaluate external threats to doing business in Mozambique, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies

The Mozambique Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes three major sections: Mozambique's Political Outlook, Mozambique's Economic Outlook and Mozambique's Business Environment.

Mozambique's Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in Mozambique over the next 5-years?

BMI's Mozambique Country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats posed by government instability, adverse economic policy-making, deterioration in the business environment and external shocks.

Mozambique Political Outlook Contents

• SWOT Analysis for the Mozambican Market
  Political strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing Mozambique.
• Political Stability and Risk Assessment for Mozambique
  BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Mozambique's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
• Current Administration and Policy-making in Mozambique
  BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the Mozambican government, assessing threats to the continuity of Mozambican economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment through end-2018.
• Mozambican Foreign Policy
  BMI examines key trends and shifts in Mozambique's foreign relations and alignments with regional neighbours, the United States and Europe, focusing on external influences.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark Mozambique's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
• Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment in Mozambique, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
• Gain valuable insights into the Mozambican government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their exclusive network of private and public sector sources.

Mozambique's Economic Outlook:

How will Mozambican economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2009-2014?

BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Mozambique through end-2014 for more than 35 macroeconomic variables. We evaluate Mozambican growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management, including central bank policy, on profitability.

Mozambique Economic Outlook Contents

The Mozambique Business Forecast Report features explicit BMI economic forecasts for country, with supporting commentary and analysis, for end-2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014 set against Mozambican government views. Underpinning our Mozambique forecasts are key assumptions for the global economy through end-2014, covering growth, inflation, employment, trade and investment, interest and exchange rates in the US, Japan and the Euro-zone.

Coverage of Key Economic Issues in Mozambique

• Economic Activity in Mozambique
  Real GDP growth; industrial growth; employment growth; inflation and consumer prices; consumption (indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence)
• Fiscal Policy in Mozambique
  Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies; government finance (revenue, expenditure, budget balance); tax reforms
• Monetary Policy in Mozambique
  Interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates); inflation (retail price inflation, consumer price inflation); exchange rate policy in country; currency controls; influence of foreign direct investment inflows; exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves
• Balance of Payments in Mozambique
  Merchandise trade (exports, imports, trade balance); current and capital account balances
• Foreign Direct Investment in Mozambique
  Foreign direct investment approvals and inflows; the foreign investment climate
• Mozambican External Debt
  Debt profile (short- and long-term debt; public and private sector exposure)

Key Benefits

• Rely upon BMI's 100% independent Forecast Scenarios for Mozambique and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
• Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Mozambique, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
• Gain key insights into the current and future direction of Mozambican government economic policy

Mozambique's Business Environment:

Mozambique's Business Environment Risk Rating with SWOT Analysis

Short- and long-term business environment risk ratings for Mozambique, benchmarked against ratings for regional neighbours.

Country Competitiveness for Mozambique
Competitiveness of Mozambique's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability over the 5-year forecast horizon, compared with regional neighbours.

Mozambique Business Environment Contents

• Mozambique's Domestic Environment.
  Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; access of private sector to lines of credit; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT
• Foreign Direct Investment in Mozambique
  Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments over the last 24 months, and of strategic sectors attracting most interest
• Foreign Trade with Mozambique
  Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas