Bosnia-Herzegovina Business Forecast Report

Product Description

The Bosnia-Herzegovina Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Bosnia-Herzegovina and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Bosnia-Herzegovina's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2016, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

• Forecast the pace and stability of Bosnia-Herzegovina's economic and industry growth through end-2016.
• Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
• Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
• Contextualise Bosnia-Herzegovina's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Ratings system.
• Evaluate external threats to doing business in Bosnia-Herzegovina, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Bosnia-Herzegovina Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes three major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, and Business Environment.

Economic Outlook:

BMI provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for Bosnia-Herzegovina through end-2016 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management.

Economic Outlook Contents

The Bosnia-Herzegovina Business Forecast Report features BMI's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2012 through to end-2016, set against government views and BMI's evaluation of global and regional prospects.

Key Areas Covered:

Data:

• Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita), population, inflation, current account balance and the exchange rate.
• BMI's comprehensive Risk Ratings system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk, and rates the business environment, within a global and regional context.

Written Analysis:

• Economic Activity - real GDP growth, employment, inflation, consumption (wages, retail sales, confidence).
• Balance of Payments - trade and investment, current and capital account.
• Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (retail price and consumer price).
• Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls, foreign investment flows, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.
• Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies, government finance and tax reforms.
• Foreign Direct Investment - approvals, inflows and climate.
• External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector exposure).
• Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2016 covering: major commodities, growth in key regions, inflation, and interest and exchange rates, in the United States, Japan, China and the eurozone.
• 10-Year Forecasts For Key States - Real and nominal GDP Growth; GDP by expenditure breakdown (where available); population; nominal per capita GDP (US$); inflation; exchange rates (versus US$ and, where appropriate, EUR); current account balance.

Key Benefits

• Rely upon BMI's 100% independent forecast scenarios for Bosnia-Herzegovina and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
• Exploit the benefits of BMI's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on Bosnia-Herzegovina, sourced and fully maintained by BMI from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.
• Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy, which could significantly affect your company's business prospects, from BMI's team of analysts and economists.

Political Outlook:

BMI's Bosnia-Herzegovina country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.

Political Outlook Contents

• SWOT Analysis for the Bosnian Market - Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing Bosnia-Herzegovina.
• Political Stability and Risk Assessment - BMI's Risk Ratings assess explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for Bosnia-Herzegovina's risk are compared with regional and global averages.
• Current Administration and Policy-making BMI assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment.
• Long-Term Political Outlook - BMI examines the structural risks to the stability of the political system and the dominant public policy issues likely to affect decision-makers, and outlines scenarios for how the state could evolve in the medium to long term for key states.

Key Benefits

• Benchmark Bosnia-Herzegovina's risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.
• Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment, and to your company's current operations and future plans.
• Gain valuable insights into government and policy-making, through BMI's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their network of private and public sector sources.

Business Environment

Business Environment Risk Ratings with SWOT Analysis - Business environment Risk Ratings for Bosnia-Herzegovina, benchmarked against ratings for regional neighbours.

Country Competitiveness - Competitiveness of Bosnia-Herzegovina's business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability, compared with regional neighbours.

Business Environment Contents

• Domestic Environment - Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT.
• Foreign Direct Investment - Analysis of foreign investment regime, foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors; review of major foreign direct investments.
• Foreign Trade - Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas.

Key Benefits

• Assess your company's evolving exposure to country specific operational and business risks, using BMI's in-depth analysis of the legal and regulatory business environment.
• Understand your market's comparative strengths and weaknesses in the key areas of commercial infrastructure and business institutions, using BMI's proprietary global Business Environment Risk Ratings.

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