Business Monitor International


Bahrain Telecommunications Report

Published 05 February 2014

  • 89 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Bahrain Telecommunications Report

BMI View : Bahrain's telecoms market is rapidly moving towards high-value wireless and wireline data services, supported by the launch of 4G LTE network services and 100Mbps fibre broadband services in 20 13 an d early 2014 . We expect this to help operators offset revenue shortfalls from traditional voice services and improve their sub scriber mixes, as consumers turn to postpaid contracts to subsidise the purchase of LTE-enabled smartphones . We retain a positive outlook for the take-up of these services based on the government's continued expansionary policy, which will sustain high private consumption levels , but note that strong growth in mobile data services poses downside risks to growth in the fixed broadband sector .

Key Data

  • Following strong growth in H113, Bahrain's mobile market contracted by 1.3% in Q313, bringing the total number of subscriptions down to 2.223mn. This was a penetration rate of 166.9%, down from nearly 170% in June 2013.

  • Regulatory data showed continued rapid take-up of mobile data services, as the 3G and 4G market grew by nearly 5% in Q313, bringing total subscriptions to 1.053mn.

  • After recording growth in 2012 the fixed-line sector took a turn for the worse in the first nine months of 2013. Subscriptions continued to decline in Q313, resulting in a further downward revision of our forecasts. We estimate there will be 254,000 fixed-lines in Bahrain at the end of 2013, dropping to 245,000 by 2018.

Risk/Reward Ratings

This quarter Bahrain's Risk/Reward score increase 0.2points to 51.6, pulling ahead of the regional average of 51.4 and climbing ahead of Oman on BMI's Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings table to sixth place. Bahrain's lowest score is in the industry risks category, which reflects strong state influence on the telecoms sector despite the existence of an independent telecoms regulator, and continued government ownership of the incumbent operator. Bahrain's highest score is in the country rewards...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Mobile SWOT
9
Wireline SWOT
11
Political
13
Economic
14
Business Environment
15
Industry Forecast
16
Mobile
16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
16
Fixed Line
19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
19
Broadband
21
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
21
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
23
Table: MENA Telecoms Risks/Rewards Ratings, Q214
26
Market Overview
27
Mobile
27
Regional Perspective
27
Table: Bahrain Mobile Market Regional Comparison
28
Key Developments
28
Market Growth
29
Table: Bahrain Mobile Market
31
Market Shares
31
Subscriber Mix
32
Usage (MOU)/ARPU
33
Mobile Broadband
34
Networks
35
Mobile Content
37
Mobile Operator Data
41
Table: Market Overview
41
Table: Batelco
41
Table: Zain
42
Table: VIVA
43
Industry Trend Analysis
44
Wireline
47
Fixed-Line
47
Broadband
50
Industry Trends And Developments
56
Table: Selected Mobile and Wireline Contract Wins
57
Regulatory Development
58
Table: Bahrain Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
58
Regulatory Developments
61
Competitive Landscape
65
Table: Key Players: Bahrain Telecoms Sector
65
Table: Bahrain Financial Indicators (US$mn)
65
Company Profile
66
Batelco
66
Zain
71
Regional Overview
75
Table: Tecnotree - Recent Key Performance Indicators
75
Products & Services
75
Sales Distribution
76
New Strategy Paying Off
77
Demographic Forecast
79
Demographic Outlook
79
Table: Bahrain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
80
Table: Bahrain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
81
Table: Bahrain's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
82
Table: Bahrain's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
82
Glossary
83
Table: Glossary Of Terms
83
Methodology
85
Industry Forecast Methodology
85
Sources
86
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
87
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
88
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
89

The Bahrain Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Bahrain's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Bahrain Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Bahrain.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Bahrain to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Bahraini telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Bahrain's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Bahrain.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

secure
Benefit from discounts when you add multiple products to your basket
2 Products SAVE 10%
3 Products SAVE 15%
4 Products SAVE 20%
5 Products SAVE 25%
6 Products SAVE 30%
7 - 20 Products SAVE 35%
21 Products or more SAVE 40%

Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc