Business Monitor International


Bahrain Food & Drink Report

Published 16 May 2014

  • 110 pages
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$1,295.00
Bahrain Food & Drink Report

BMI View:   We hold a positive outlook on food consumption growth in Bahrain in 2014 and through our forecast period to 2018. We believe that food consumption growth in local currency terms will come in at 6.4% in 2014, boosted by the mass grocery retail sector, which will achieve sales growth of 8.0% this year. The macroeconomic picture looks similarly promising, though we note that potential headwinds exist. Our Country Risk team forecasts real GDP growth of 3.4% in 2014, before rising to 3.8% in 2015. Though strong growth, this represents a slight downturn on 2013, when real GDP growth came in at 5.3%. Furthermore, employment growth has slowed in recent months, along with wage growth.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

  • Food consumption (local currency) growth for 2014: +6.4%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2013 to 2018: +6.2%.

  • Per capita food consumption (local currency) growth for 2014: +5.4%; CAGR 2013 to 2018: +4.7%.

  • Soft drinks value sales (local currency) growth for 2014: +4.8%; CAGR 2013 to 2018: +4.8%.

  • Mass grocery retail sales (local currency) growth for 2014: +8.0%; CAGR 2013 to 2018: +7.5%.

Key Company Trends

BRF Increases Stake In Federal Foods : In April 2014, Brazilian food company BRF has its stake in the UAE-based Federal Foods for USD27.8mn. In January 2013, BRF had acquired a 49% interest in Federal Foods for USD37.1mn. The transaction is part of the Brazilian company's strategy to expand its presence across international markets and boost its brands and distribution, while expanding its product portfolio in the Middle East. The UAE company distributes a range of chilled, frozen and dry line food products of other brands and suppliers to retail, food service and wholesale firms in the region.

Nestlé To Triple Current Sales By 2020: Nestlé announced plans in February 2014 to triple its current level of sales in the Middle East region by 2020. The company said that it expects to invest around USD400mn into building...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
13
Industry Forecast
15
Consumer Outlook
15
Food
18
Food Consumption
18
Table: Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2018
19
Drink
20
Soft Drinks
20
Table: Soft Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
21
Mass Grocery Retail
22
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
23
Trade
24
Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
24
Macroeconomic Forecast
25
Table: Bahrain - Economic Activity
32
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
33
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Ratings
33
Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q314
34
Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings Q314 (scores out of 10)
37
Bahrain Risk/Reward Ratings
39
Market Overview
40
Food
40
Agriculture
40
Food Processing
41
Halal Food
41
Drink
43
Soft Drinks
43
Alcoholic Drinks
43
Hot Drinks
44
Mass Grocery Retail
46
Industry Trends And Developments
47
Food
47
Drink
54
Mass Grocery Retail
60
Competitive Landscape
63
Table: Key Players In Bahrain's Food & Drink Sector
63
Table: Key Players In Bahrain's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
64
Company Profile
65
Bahrain Flour Mills Company
65
General Trading And Food Processing Company
67
Kraft Foods
69
Delmon Poultry Company
72
Nestl-
74
Awal Dairy Company
77
EMKE Group
79
Fu-Com International/G-ant
81
Carrefour MAF
83
Global Industry Overview
86
Table: Food And Drink Core Views
97
Demographic Forecast
99
Table: Bahrain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
100
Table: Bahrain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
101
Table: Bahrain's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
102
Table: Bahrain's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
102
Glossary
103
Food & Drink
103
Mass Grocery Retail
103
Methodology
105
Industry Forecast Methodology
105
Sector-Specific Methodology
106
Sources
106
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
107
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
108
Table: Weighting
109

The Bahrain Food & Drink Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Bahrain Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Bahrain.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Bahrain to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Bahraini food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Bahrain through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the retail market.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Food & Drink Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors, food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Food Forecasts

BMI's food chapter is divided into sections such as Meat, Fish, Confectionary, Dairy and Canned Foods, and provides insight into a market's food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2018 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

Industry Forecast Scenario - Historical data series and forecasts to end-2018 for growth of key indicators within a market's food industry. Including consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.

Industry Developments - A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.

Market Overview - An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI's food chapter, the drink section provides insight into the market's drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2018 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI's food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into a market's grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-201 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown for the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape & Profiles

Illustration of the industry via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. BMI analyses each company's market position, business strategies and investment potential.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc