Business Monitor International


Angola Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

Published 05 February 2014

  • 61 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Angola Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

BMI View: Angola's economy depends upon demand for oil, its main export. While it is taking steps to diversify its economy, Angola is still at risk of changes to oil prices. The healthcare sector still remains to be improved where communicable diseases such as HIV/AIDS, dengue and malaria continue to account for a large portion of the burden of disease. Rich in natural resources, the country has seen increasing foreign investments with countries such as China and Russia helping to improve healthcare infrastructure and training of professionals. The demand for vaccines and basic medicines is high, creating opportunities for generic drug manufacturers. However, the lack of a clear regulatory framework, inadequate funding towards national health and p oorly protected drug patents are all factors that impede further development of the market.

Headline Expenditure Forecasts

  • Pharmaceuticals: AOA19.66bn (US$203mn) in 2013 to AOA21.77bn (US$202mn) in 2014; +10.8% in local currency and +9.0% in US dollar terms.

  • Healthcare: AOA508.93bn (US$5.27bn) in 2013 to AOA598.71bn (US$6.09bn) in 2014; +17.6% in local currency and +15.7% in US dollar terms.

Risk/Reward Rating

Angola's Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Rating (RRR) score for Q214 is 33.0, unchanged from last quarter's score. It remains as the 24th most attractive pharmaceutical market in the Middle East and Africa region, far behind South Africa (56.8) and Namibia (41.2), with whom it shares a border.

Key Trends And Developments

Health inspectors attended a lecture on management drugs in the central Bie province to ensure future quality of treatment and medical care. Issues relating to regulation of the exercise of pharmaceutical activities, their regulations and policies, the exercises of traditional, natural and conventional medicine were also discussed. According to Miguel dos Santos de Oliveira, who ran the lecture, the Ministry of Health's commitment ensures the market circulation and sale of safe, effective and...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Business Environment
13
Industry Forecast
14
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast
14
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales Indicators, 2010-2018
15
Healthcare Market Forecast
16
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Indicators, 2010-2018
18
Table: Healthcare Governmental Indicators, 2010-2018
18
Table: Healthcare Private Indicators, 2010-2018
19
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
19
Macroeconomic Forecasts
21
Table: Angola - Economic Activity
25
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
26
Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Ratings
26
Angola Risk/Reward Ratings
34
Rewards
34
Risks
35
Market Overview
36
Industry Trends And Developments
38
Epidemiology
38
Clinical Trials
41
Regulatory Development
42
Regulatory Development
42
Intellectual Property Issues
43
Pricing Regime
43
Competitive Landscape
45
Company Developments
46
Company Profile
48
Nova Angom-dica
48
Demographic Forecast
50
Table: Angola's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
51
Table: Angola's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
52
Table: Angola's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
53
Table: Angola's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
53
Glossary
54
Methodology
56
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model
56
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model
56
Notes On Methodology
57
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
58
Ratings Overview
59
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
59
Indicator Weightings
60

The Angola Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s forecasts for drugs and healthcare expenditure and imports and exports, focusing on the growth outlook for the prescription, OTC, patented drugs and generics market segments.

BMI's Angola Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report provides industry professionals, strategists, company executives, investors, analysts and sales/marketing heads with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Angolan pharmaceutical and healthcare industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent pharmaceutical and healthcare industry forecasts for Angola to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Angolan pharmaceutical and healthcare market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Angolan pharmaceutical and healthcare sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Angola.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View & Industry SWOT

An at-a-glance perspective on latest regulatory developments, key forecast indicators and major corporate developments, covering the prescription, OTC and generics markets. The SWOT outlines strategic factors which affect BMI's forecast analysis, and taken together with BMI's political, economic and business environment SWOTS, it gives a complete overview of market climate.

Market Summary

Snapshot of key market characteristics, including total size of pharmaceuticals and healthcare segments, growth drivers, leading therapeutic areas and the competitive landscape.

Regulatory Regime

Details of the industry regulatory framework and key legislation covering the licensing of new products/services, pricing and reimbursements, intellectual property, taxation and advertising, as well as an analysis of the overall regulatory burden.

Industry Developments

Focus on government healthcare reforms, epidemiological trends, company M&As, product launches, market entries, FDI activity, R&D, biotechnology, clinical trials and supply chain issues.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Healthcare: Total healthcare expenditure (US$bn), healthcare expenditure (% of GDP), healthcare expenditure per capita (US$), hospital beds (per `000 population), doctors (per `000 population), birth and mortality rate (per `000 population)

Pharmaceutical market: Drug expenditure (US$bn), drug expenditure (% of GDP), drug expenditure per capita (US$)

Patented drug market: Prescription drug sales (US$bn), prescription sales (% of total sales), sales broken down by 14 therapeutic areas (cardiovascular, anti-infectives etc.)

Generic drug market: Generic product sales (US$bn), generic sales (% of total sales)

OTC drug market: OTC sales (US$bn), OTC sales (% of total sales), sales broken down by product types (analgesics, skin treatments, vitamins and minerals etc.)

Medical Devices: Medical device sales (US$bn), medical device sales (% of total healthcare market)

Macroeconomic Forecasts: Nominal and real GDP, % real GDP growth, % private consumption growth, % industrial output growth, % consumer price index, % GDP price deflator, exports, imports, trade balance, current account balance, foreign direct investment, exchange rate against US$, government expenditure, external debt.

Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape section provides comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales and % share of total sales - for the total pharmaceutical sector, as well as the OTC, generics, and distribution sub-sectors.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc