Business Monitor International


Algeria Infrastructure Report

Published 12 November 2013

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Algeria Infrastructure Report

BMI View: The Algerian construction sector has performed well in 2013 and we see this trend to continue into 2014. After a change of the historical construction data by the Bank of Algeria, from -5.9% year - on - year [y-o-y] to 1.51% y-o-y in 2011, we have revised our outlook of the Algerian construction value to be in line with these modifications. Strong revenues from oil and gas resources and energy exports have allowed the Algerian government to assign US$286bn for investment in infrastructure in five years. Reasonable growth rates and rising oil prices, as well as a period of political stability, in relation to neighbouring countries, are helping to maintain Algeria's inflows of foreign investment. Over the 10-year forecast period we expect average y-o-y growth will be 5.9%, from 2014 to 2023, with industry value to stand at US$ 57.04bn by the end of this period.

The key trends and developments in Algeria's Infrastructure sector are:

  • At the Algeria Infrastructure Summit held in September 2012, plans for the enhancement of the country's infrastructure sector were announced. A total of US$286bn will be invested in an infrastructure development program. In particular, US$156bn government investments are planned for new projects and US$110bn will be allocated for the modernisation/development of current rail and road projects. In addition an approximate US$20bn has been allocated to developing the country's water resources. The government plans to build 32 new water dams and 25 large water transfer systems with a total value of US$10bn; 40 wastewater treatment plants with a value of US$1bn; Irrigation and drainage projects amounting to US$700mn and water distribution systems for 37 cities amounting to US$1bn. A further US$114.4bn will be dedicated to the development of education, healthcare and housing infrastructure.

  • Algeria's Tourism Minister announced that the government is planning to carry out and complete 713 hospitality projects by 2016,...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT Analysis
8
Algeria Infrastructure Industry SWOT
8
Market Overview
9
Building Materials
11
Middle East
11
Industry Forecast Scenario
17
Table: Algeria Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2011-2016
17
Table: Algeria Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2017-2022
18
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
19
Transport Infrastructure
21
Outlook And Overview
21
Major Projects Table - Transport
24
Table: Major Projects - Transport
24
Outlook and Overview
26
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
29
Outlook And Overview
31
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
32
Table: Major Projects - Residential/ Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
32
Risk/Reward Ratings
33
Algeria's Risk/Reward Ratings
33
Rewards
33
Risks
33
Regional Overview
35
Table: Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
39
Company Monitor
40
Sonelgaz
40
Acciona Agua
41
Orascom Construction Industries
42
Global Overview
44
Methodology
51
Industry Forecasts
51
Construction Industry
52
Data Methodology
52
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
52
Construction
53
Capital Investment
54
Construction Sector Employment
55
Infrastructure Business Environment Rating
56
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
57
Project Finance Ratings
58
Table: Design And Construction Phase
59
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Commercial Construction
60
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Energy And Utilities
61
Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Transport
62
Sources
63

The Algeria Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Algeria Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Algerian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Algeria to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Algerian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Algerian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Algeria.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc