Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Libya Business Forecast Report
Concessions Defusing Tension Although tensions in other Arab states have led to the ousters of longtime leaders and civil wars, we do not expect social discontent to reach the same scale in Alger... Read More
Pub date: 28 Mar 2012 Africa / Angola Business Forecast Report
Core Views D riven by strong investment in its promising subsalt oil reserves and by a boom in exports from its already developed offshore oil plays, Angola is set to become one of the world's fast... Read More
Pub date: 02 May 2012 Africa / Botswana Business Forecast Report
Core Views We are forecasting real GDP growth in Botswana of 4.2% in 2012 and 5.4% in 2013. The solid outlook is driven by growing interest in the country's mining sector and the investment in infr... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Cameroon Business Forecast Report
Core Views R eal GDP growth in Cameroon will climb above the 3.5% long-run trend for the next few years on the back of investment in several new mega-projects and increased oil production. Politic... Read More
Pub date: 02 May 2012 Africa / Cote d`Ivoire Business Forecast Report
Core Views Not only is real GDP growth expected to surge in 2012 as the economy recovers from the 2011 crisis, but long-term growth is likely to benefit from a 'unification dividend'. We expect ann... Read More
Pub date: 28 Mar 2012 Africa / Congo, Dem. Rep. Business Forecast Report
Core Views I nterest in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC )'s mining sector has exploded over recent years, and we are expecting the sector to grow by an annual average of 13.7% through 2015. I... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Egypt Business Forecast Report
Core Views Following 2011’s political crisis, our forecasts see trend growth in Egypt settling at a lower rate over the coming five years as the political transition from authoritarian rule to comp... Read More
Pub date: 28 Mar 2012 Africa / Ethiopia Business Forecast Report
Core Views We are forecasting Ethiopian real GDP growth of 7.8% in 2012 and 7.2% in 2013, a moderation from the estimated 8.8% expansion in 2011. The overall outlook remains stellar, with the econo... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Togo Business Forecast Report
Ivoirien Recovery Buoys The Region I n Côte d’Ivoire, we are expecting strong growth in 2012 as the country recovers from the post-electoral violence in early 2011. After a 5.4% contraction in 2011... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Ghana Business Forecast Report
Core Views T he Ghanaian economy will enjoy stellar economic growth over the medium term, propelled by the nascent oil and gas sector. Ghana’s abundant natural resources, fast growth trajectory and... Read More
Pub date: 02 May 2012 Africa / Kenya Business Forecast Report
Core Views: We believe that Kenyan economic activity will pick up over the course of 2012 as inflation falls and monetary policy is eased. We are forecasting full-year real GDP growth of 4.9%, up f... Read More
Pub date: 28 Mar 2012 Middle East / Syria Business Forecast Report
Core Views Although we expect growth to accelerate slightly in 2012, we stress that the pace of economic expansion will remain somewhat anaemic. The ongoing crisis in Syria is likely to keep touris... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Mauritius Business Forecast Report
Core Views D espite a sluggish global growth outlook weighing on final consumption and private investment into Mauritius, the government appear committed in implementing the five-year Public Sector... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Morocco Business Forecast Report
Core Views Despite not possessing hydrocarbon wealth, the economy will remain a relative outperformer in North Africa over the medium term. On top of a very low base, strong interest from foreign i... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Mozambique Business Forecast Report
Core Views We expect the rebalancing of the Mozambican economy away from private consumption and towards exports to continue over the years ahead as extractive industries gain greater importance, w... Read More
Pub date: 28 Mar 2012 Africa / Namibia Business Forecast Report
Core Views Growth in 2012 is expected to pick up from 2011 as agricultural output hampered by flooding recovers and mining production expands. Government expenditures will continue to be a major dr... Read More
Pub date: 02 May 2012 Africa / Nigeria Business Forecast Report
Core Views We expect robust growth in the years ahead, bolstered primarily by the non-oil sectors, which will benefit from burgeoning domestic demand. Security risks, which were on the rise at the... Read More
Pub date: 28 Mar 2012 Africa / Rwanda Business Forecast Report
Core Views We are forecasting economic expansion of 7.7% in 2012 and 7.6% in 2013 in Rwanda as the country benefits from a vibrant investment outlook and solid performance in final consumption. We ... Read More
Pub date: 02 May 2012 Africa / South Africa Business Forecast Report
Core Views We believe the South African economy will continue its uneven recovery over the medium term, with real GDP growth forecast to slow to 2.7% in 2012 from 3.1% in 2011. Although the consume... Read More
Pub date: 02 May 2012 Africa / South Sudan Business Forecast Report
Core Views Rising security concerns, both domestically amid various feuding factions and internationally between Sudan and South Sudan, will remain a huge challenge for the foreseeable future, adve... Read More
Pub date: 28 Mar 2012 Africa / Tanzania Business Forecast Report
Core Views We believe that real GDP growth in Tanzania will slow to 5.5% in 2012, from an estimated 6.2% in 2011, as high inflation and weakness in the tourism sector weigh on our outlook. We belie... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Tunisia Business Forecast Report
Core Views We foresee a slightly turbulent but successful transition following elections for a National Constituent Assembly in October 2011, and we expect to see a permanent government in place by... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Uganda Business Forecast Report
Core Views Growth is expected to be robust, although below potential owing to a variety of domestic and external constraints, including inflation, investor uncertainty and lack of clarity in the oi... Read More
Pub date: 28 Mar 2012 Africa / Zambia Business Forecast Report
Core Views Zambia will post strong growth in the years ahead, although our below-consensus view on external factors, particularly the price of copper, have caused us to revise down several of our f... Read More
Pub date: 29 Feb 2012 Africa / Zimbabwe Business Forecast Report
Core Views Although we forecast that the Zimbabwean economy will grow at robust rates of more than 7.0% over the coming years, we note that domestically focused industries are facing serious challe... Read More
Pub date: 04 Feb 2010 Global Special Report
EM To Outperform After years of progress on regulatory reform, macroeconomic restructuring and institutional convergence following the painful events of the Asian and Russian c... Read More
Pub date: 14 Feb 2011 Global Special Report
The Challenge Of Rising Commodity Prices A combination of improving economic growth, loose monetary policy, and supply-side considerations from tight commodity markets is boosting consumer prices ... Read More
Pub date: 18 Mar 2011 Global Special Report
A Country In Crisis The Worst Disaster Since World War ll Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan has described the March 11 devastating earthquake and its aftermath as the country's worst disaster ... Read More
Pub date: 11 Aug 2011 Global Special Report
Economic growth in the US, Japan and the eurozone is faltering, putting the global economy on the verge of another recession. In this special report, Business Monitor International (BMI) assesses the ... Read More
Pub date: 04 Mar 2011 Global Special Report
History In The Making The wave of popular protests that has swept across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) since January constitutes the biggest shake-up to the region for at least a generat... Read More
Pub date: 07 Mar 2012 Global Special Report
BMI View: Poor visibility on global macro prospects suggests that a purely top down approach could be insufficient in unearthing investment opportunities in 2012. In this article, we outline the ... Read More
Pub date: 13 Dec 2011 Global / North America Special Report
BMI examines the outlook for global private consumption over the next 10 years, and picks key emerging market and industry outperformers.... Read More
Pub date: 06 Jul 2011 Global Special Report
Executive Summary Where Next For The World Economy? Risks And Scenarios For The Recovery The risks to the global economy are mounting, following the earthquake and tsunami in Japan in March and... Read More
Pub date: 18 Jan 2011 Global Special Report
The global economic healing process is gaining momentum, and while risks abound as ever, we expect 2011 to herald a broadening and deepening phase of the recovery. Emerging markets are again set to... Read More
Pub date: 03 May 2012 Global Regional Monitor
East and Central Africa Monitor each month provides country-by-country analyses, ratings and forecasts covering political risk, economic performance, key industries, finance and the business environme... Read More
Pub date: 03 May 2012 Global Regional Monitor
North Africa Monitor each month provides country-by-country analyses, ratings and forecasts covering political risk, economic performance, key industries, finance and the business environment... Read More
Pub date: 03 May 2012 Global Regional Monitor
Southern Africa Monitor each month provides country-by-country analyses, ratings and forecasts covering political risk, economic performance, key industries, finance and the business environment... Read More
Pub date: 03 May 2012 Africa Regional Monitor
West Africa Monitor each month provides country-by-country analyses, ratings and forecasts covering political risk, economic performance, key industries, finance and the business environment... Read More
Pub date: 11 May 2012 Global Regional Monitor
Emerging Markets Monitor provides weekly analyses, forecasts and ratings on fixed income, foreign exchange, commodities, bonds, equities and funds across global markets, all backed by Business Monito... Read More
Pub date: 02 May 2012 Global Regional Monitor
Coverage includes BMI's Country Risk and Financial Markets team's global outlook, with unrivalled coverage of developed states, as well as key regional and country-by-country stories of emerging state... Read More